About the webinar

25 May 2022 | 1:00pm | via Zoom

Foodborne Transmission of Norovirus: Mechanism modelling, seasonality and policy implications 

In this month’s webinar, Prof David Lane will look at a study which was completed for the Food Standards Agency in London. David will outline the implications of Norovirus, its effects on people and its transmission via food. He will also consider the aims of the study and what was done to model the range of transmission mechanisms.

David will then go on to describe an unexpected second phase of the work which allowed for an assessment of scale to be made of the foodborne effects. This stage generated insights into possible sources of seasonality and raised questions about the most effective leverage points in the system. He will close by summarising the findings and exploring their policy implications and the clients reactions to them including further work and actions to implement the lessons of the study.


The session will cover:  

  • A study conducted on behalf of the Food Standards Agency
  • Norovirus, its effects on people and its transmission
  • The system dynamics model and how it was built
  • An unexpected second phase of the work
  • Insights, policy implications and the client's reactions

About David: 

Prof Lane specialises in strategic analysis using system dynamics, systems thinking and other OR/MS approaches. He has 35 years of experience helping senior managers to think through the long-term policies of their organisation.

David Lane studied Mathematics at the University of Bristol, where he was in Wills Hall. He graduated with a First. Moving to the University of Oxford, he obtained a Master of Science degree in Mathematical Modelling and Numerical Analysis. He went on to obtain a Doctorate (D.Phil.) in mathematical biology, under the supervision of James D. Murray.

He was a consultant in Shell Int. and a marketing manager in Shell UK. He was previously at City University Business School and then London School of Economics and Political Science. He has consulting and executive education experience in a range of commercial and public sector/government organisations. A member of the Home Office Science Advisory Council (HOSAC), he provides independent advice to improve the quality of the science and research informing policy development and implementation.


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